Tech Giants Struggle for Momentum as AI Developments Fall Short of Investor Expectations

AI Oversupply

Tech Giants Facing Headwinds as AI Developments Fall Short

The saturation in the AI market is resulting in extended cost recovery periods for significant AI investments, potentially prompting major corporations to rethink their funding strategies.

AI Oversupply

End of the Bull Run for the Magnificent Seven?

The strong momentum of the tech stocks often referred to as the “Magnificent Seven” may be diminishing due to a growing disappointment among investors regarding advancements in technology.

  • Alphabet
  • Amazon
  • Apple
  • Meta
  • Microsoft
  • Nvidia
  • Tesla

Sandeep Rao, a senior researcher at Leverage Shares, suggests that despite heavy investments in AI, the anticipated reductions in labor costs have not materialized significantly.

“The anticipated savings from AI in labor costs for many firms have turned out to be exaggerated.”

This disappointment could result in investors seeking more reliable stocks for long-term gains.

The Implications of AI Oversupply for Tech Stocks

With the exception of Tesla (TSLA), which has seen a decline of over 19% year-to-date (YTD), most stocks in the Magnificent Seven remain positive, with Nvidia (NVDA) leading with a YTD increase exceeding 117% according to Nasdaq data.

Magnificent Seven Stocks Year-to-Date Chart
Year-to-date performance of the Magnificent Seven stocks. Source: TradingView

The current oversupply of AI resources has far surpassed the requirements to maintain global internet operations. This surplus could significantly elongate the time it takes for companies to recover their investments in AI.

“In light of this, tech giants may slow their AI-related expenditures and adopt more structured, milestone-based approaches, while investors who previously exhibited fear of missing out (FOMO) are now diversifying their portfolios more significantly.”

Over the past month, all Magnificent Seven stocks experienced declines, with Tesla recording the steepest loss of over 21%, followed closely by Nvidia with a drop exceeding 20%.

Magnificent Seven Stocks Monthly Chart
Monthly performance overview of the Magnificent Seven stocks. Source: TradingView

How Might a Decline in Tech Stocks Affect Bitcoin?

A recent $510 billion sell-off in the cryptocurrency market saw the Magnificent Seven lose over $650 billion in market capitalization during regular trading on August 5.

Experts suggest that any further downturn in these prominent tech stocks could negatively impact Bitcoin (BTC) prices. Akshay Nassa, founder of Chimp exchange, noted:

“There is a well-established connection between stock market trends and cryptocurrency values; as leading tech stocks decline, investor enthusiasm generally wanes regarding alternative assets such as Bitcoin.”

Alvin Kan, chief operating officer of Bitget Wallet, agrees, stating that a further decline in the Magnificent Seven will likely push investors towards safer assets, thus exerting additional pressure on Bitcoin prices.

“If major players like Amazon and Apple falter, investors will seek refuge from higher-risk assets like Bitcoin, resulting in a significant capital outflow from the broader financial markets that may adversely impact Bitcoin’s value.”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *