Price Analysis – August 16: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA, AVAX, SHIB
Bitcoin’s bulls are managing to protect the $55,500 support level; however, an increase in futures open interest coupled with a death cross pattern on the BTC chart has led to concerns among traders about potential future declines.
In the current market scenario, while the long-term outlook remains positive, analysts are starting to express short-term bearish sentiments. Data from Coinglass has indicated that Bitcoin’s increasing open interest suggests a possible price drop. Additionally, observers are closely tracking the death cross, which occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) dips below the 200-day SMA.
This raises a critical question: Will Bitcoin drop below the $55,724 support, signaling a potential fall to $50,000? Furthermore, could altcoins be at risk of similar declines? Let’s take a look at the top 10 cryptocurrencies to analyze their charts.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis
Bitcoin faced a rejection at the 50-day SMA ($61,577) on August 14 but found solid support at $55,724 on August 15, indicating another buying opportunity.
If bulls succeed in pushing the price above the 50-day SMA, it could indicate decreasing selling pressure, allowing a rally towards $65,659 and possibly up to $70,000. Conversely, if the price declines from the moving averages, it will suggest that sellers are active at higher levels, potentially resulting in consolidation between the moving averages and $55,724. A decline below $55,724 could see the price plummet to $49,000.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis
Ethereum rebounded near the support level around $2,500 on August 16, indicating bulls are aiming to establish a higher low.
Bulls are attempting to initiate a recovery, but the ETH/USDT pair is projected to encounter strong resistance in the $2,772 to $2,850 range. A rejection from this zone could suggest that bears are seeking to convert $2,850 into resistance, heightening the risk of a drop below $2,500. Conversely, a successful breakthrough above $2,850 could propel the pair towards the 50-day SMA ($3,085) and subsequently $3,400.
BNB Price Analysis
BNB has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($526) for several days, indicating a struggle to surpass this level.
If bulls can push the BNB/USDT pair above the 20-day EMA, they could target the downtrend line, an essential level. A break and close above this line would signal the start of a significant recovery towards $605. On the other hand, if the price turns down, it will indicate persistent bearish sentiment as bears seek to move the price to critical support at $460.
Solana (SOL) Price Analysis
Solana fell below the $141 support on August 15, with bearish momentum continuing on August 16.
The SOL/USDT pair may drop to $130, a critical support level. If the price bounces back from this point, bulls will attempt to push above the moving averages. Increased bullish momentum is likely if the price exceeds $164. Should the price break below $130, it would indicate increasing selling pressure, potentially leading to a test of the vital support at $116.
XRP Price Analysis
XRP has been hovering near the 20-day EMA ($0.57), with a clear struggle between buyers and sellers.
A close above $0.58 would give short-term momentum to the buyers, potentially pushing the XRP/USDT pair towards resistance at $0.64. However, if the price declines and breaches the 50-day SMA ($0.54), selling pressure could increase, dragging the pair down to $0.46.
Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis
Dogecoin’s bears are attempting to hold the price below the $0.10 support, but bulls have managed to defend this level.
Bulls will make another effort to move the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.11). Success here may lead to momentum and a rally towards the downtrend line. Should the price remain under $0.10, it would indicate that bears are gaining control, with a minor support at $0.09. Failure to hold this level might open the door to deeper declines.
Toncoin (TON) Price Analysis
Toncoin had a brief rise above the 50-day SMA ($6.89) on August 14, but sellers subsequently pushed prices lower.
If the price falls below the 20-day EMA ($6.45), it would suggest that sellers are dominating at higher levels. There is significant support at $6, but a breach of this level could see the TON/USDT pair decline towards $5.25. Alternatively, a bounce off the 20-day EMA or $6.05 could indicate revived bullish sentiment, facilitating a potential rally to $7.65 if it manages to close above the 50-day SMA.
Cardano (ADA) Price Analysis
Cardano’s bulls are struggling to elevate the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.35), indicating persistent selling pressure at higher levels.
A minor positive is that the price has not fallen below $0.31. If bulls manage to push the price above the 20-day EMA, the ADA/USDT pair may target the downtrend line. A sustained move above this level could signal a shift in trend. However, this optimistic outlook would be negated if the price breaks below $0.31, which may lead to a further decline to essential support at $0.24.
Avalanche (AVAX) Price Analysis
Avalanche has displayed a bearish trend while trading within a descending channel pattern recently.
Nevertheless, sellers have struggled to drop the price below the $19.50 support, indicating that bulls may be attempting to form a higher low. A close above the 20-day EMA ($22.46) would signal resilience, with potential gains towards the resistance line. Conversely, a decline below $19.50 would suggest that bears are regaining control, potentially leading to further declines towards the channel’s support line.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Analysis
Shiba Inu remains beneath the moving averages, although the bears have been unsuccessful in pushing the price below $0.000012.
Bulls are looking to gain momentum by driving the price above the moving averages. If successful, the SHIB/USDT pair might reach the breakdown level of $0.000020, a point that could trigger selling from bears. However, should the price reverse from the moving averages, it may reveal ongoing bearish control. The nearest support sits at $0.000012, and a breach of this level could lead to further selling, potentially dropping the pair to $0.000010.
Investing carries risks, and it’s crucial for every investor to conduct thorough research before making decisions.