Bitcoin Analysts Anticipate a September Breakout — Could $86K Be Within Reach?

BTC/USD, 1-week chart

Analysts Anticipate Bitcoin Breakout in September — Is $86,000 Feasible?

Bitcoin may be on the verge of a breakout to unprecedented highs in the upcoming month, but it must first overcome considerable resistance at approximately $59,500.

September Could See Bitcoin Price Surge

According to renowned analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin is poised for a potential breakout in September, drawing on historical post-halving price movements, with a target of $86,000 potentially in sight.

In a recent post, Rekt Capital remarked:

“Bitcoin typically enters a Parabolic Phase about 160 days following the Halving. If past patterns hold true, a breakout could happen in just over a month — late September.”

BTC/USD, 1-week chart
BTC/USD, 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital

The macroeconomic landscape seems favorable for this movement. Jamie Coutts, a chief cryptocurrency analyst at Real Vision, indicates that Bitcoin is on track for a breakout, attributed to the increasing global M2 money supply.

Coutts stated in a post:

“Historically, Bitcoin tends to reach its low several months before the lowest point of global M2. Following this, it usually surges ahead of liquidity trends, though it may face mid-cycle corrections.”

BTC/M2 money supply
BTC/M2 money supply. Source: Jamie Coutts

Increased liquidity from the M2 money supply, along with the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), creates a highly favorable environment, according to Coutts.

Additional positive momentum may arise from the inflow of Bitcoin ETFs, which recently reported a positive net flow of $35.9 million on August 16, based on data from Farside Investors.

Bitcoin ETF flow data
Bitcoin ETF Flow (USD, million). Source: Farside Investors

Last quarter, institutional adoption of Bitcoin ETFs increased by more than 27%, with 262 new firms investing in spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Potential Target of $86,000

If Bitcoin achieves a breakout this September, the next significant target is likely around $86,000, as suggested by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto.

In a recent post, Titan expressed:

“Intermediate Target for Bitcoin: $86,000. Do you believe this Megaphone Pattern will materialize?”

BTC/USDT, 1-week chart, megaphone pattern
BTC/USDT, 1-week chart, showing the megaphone pattern. Source: Titan of Crypto

The Megaphone pattern typically signifies high volatility, presenting either a macro top or bottom in the market, characterized by multiple higher highs and lower lows.

However, Rekt Capital cautions that Bitcoin has not yet established a daily closing price above the current downtrend, indicating the possibility of further declines in the near term:

“Bitcoin will continue to downtrend until it breaks. The key point is that just one Daily Close above the downtrend could reverse the current trajectory.”

BTC/USD 1-day chart, downtrend
BTC/USD 1-day chart indicating downtrend. Source: Rekt Capital

These potential “lower lows” could see Bitcoin testing support levels at $54,000 and $50,000 prior to September.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin faces crucial resistance at $59,500. A decisive break above this threshold could liquidate over $800 million in cumulative leveraged short positions across all trading platforms, according to data by Coinglass.

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map
Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: Coinglass

A recovery above $59,900 could escalate the short liquidations to more than $1 billion.

This overview does not constitute financial advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision carries risk, and it is crucial for individuals to conduct their own research before proceeding.

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