Bitcoin Enthusiasts Go “All In” on Trump Ahead of 2024, But Risks Are Rising

Bitcoiners are ‘all in’ on Trump since Bitcoin ’24, but it’s getting risky

Bitcoin 2024: A Shift Toward Partisan Politics

At the Bitcoin 2024 conference held in Nashville, the atmosphere was electric as attendees eagerly awaited the arrival of former President Donald Trump, who took the stage to rousing patriotic music.

Comments among the crowd suggested a notable shift in the political landscape surrounding Bitcoin. One individual remarked, “There’s no way Kamala Harris could have come here,” highlighting the audience’s sentiments.

The event featured a strong Republican presence, signified by free “VOTE TRUMP” t-shirts and a fiery introduction of Trump by Bitcoin Media’s CEO David Bailey, who proclaimed him the “soon-to-be 47th President!” This marked a stark contrast to previous election cycles, where Bitcoin’s supporters often claimed a politically neutral stance.

Security breaches delayed the event by an hour. (Elias Ahonen)

The Libertarian Embrace of Trump

Unlike in the 2016 and 2020 elections, the apparent embrace of Trump by so many Bitcoin advocates raises questions. Many libertarian Bitcoiners are drawn to Trump, despite criticisms labeling him a “dangerous authoritarian.” The influential moment occurred when Trump announced plans to terminate Operation Choke Point 2—a program impacting the access of crypto companies to banking services.

A nearby attendee expressed his struggles due to this initiative, which had severely hampered his crypto investment fund’s operations:

“We suddenly lost access to banking earlier this year; it was a huge struggle to pay staff while searching for a new bank.”

This has led many within the crypto sector to view the upcoming election as a critical juncture, fearing potential losses under a Democratic administration versus potential gains under a Republican one.

Trump’s Turnaround on Cryptocurrency

The Bitcoin community is witnessing a significant pivot from Trump, who previously expressed skepticism about cryptocurrencies. In 2019, he tweeted his disapproval, labeling Bitcoin non-legal tender and linked to illegal activities. Yet, in March 2023, he seemed more open to the idea, citing the recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs.

His interest has seemingly increased, fueled partly by the success of his Trump-branded NFTs. By May, he began positioning himself as a defender of the crypto industry against regulators, condemning aggressive actions from the SEC led by Gary Gensler.

Democratic Strategy and the Shift Away from Crypto

At Bitcoin 2024, discussions turned toward a coalition dubbed “the orange party,” which represents Bitcoin supporters aligning with Trump’s candidacy. The Democrats’ stance, notably expressed through Senator Elizabeth Warren’s anti-crypto rhetoric and initiatives, has alienated this community. Warren has advocated for policies casting doubt on the legitimacy of cryptocurrencies.

Amid growing discontent, the Trump campaign declared its intent to cultivate support from the crypto sector, stating:

“MAGA supporters, now with a new cryptocurrency option, will build a crypto army moving the campaign to victory!”

Operation Choke Point 2.0 and its Impact

Operation Choke Point, which previously scrutinized banks’ dealings with high-risk businesses, has seemingly resurfaced with a focus on crypto firms. Regulatory pressures have made it increasingly challenging for these businesses to secure essential banking services.

This renewed scrutiny was acknowledged by industry leaders, who have noted the rising difficulty of finding banking options as the industry faces heightened regulatory burdens. When Trump promised to abolish Operation Choke Point 2.0 at the conference, the crowd responded wildly:

“As president, I will immediately shut down Operation Choke Point 2.0. They want to choke you out of business. We’re not going to let that happen.”

The SEC’s Role in the Crypto Debate

While the SEC operates independently, its actions under Biden’s appointee Gary Gensler have caused unrest within the crypto community. The agency has pursued actions against several prominent crypto firms rather than focusing solely on overt fraud.

Trump’s rallying cry to oust Gensler was met with enthusiasm, suggesting a strong desire for change within the industry:

“We’re going to fire Gary Gensler and appoint a new SEC chairman!”

Stance on Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

Trump also targeted the narrative surrounding CBDCs, emphasizing his opposition to centralized digital currencies, which many view as antithetical to the principles of cryptocurrency. This sentiment resonated with the audience, highlighting the growing distrust toward potential governmental surveillance through financial means.

In response to the rise of CBDCs globally, Trump stated:

“The creation of a central bank digital currency is over. Forget it. There will never be a CBDC while I’m President of the United States.”

The Future of the Crypto Industry and its Political Alignment

The statements and actions of Trump suggest that a potential presidency might benefit the cryptocurrency industry, fostering growth and a clearer regulatory landscape. However, questions arise about whether this alignment with Republican figures is strategically sound.

Industry figures who embrace extreme partisan ideologies risk alienating a broader base, as public perception shifts. For example, Ryan Selkis, former CEO of Messari, stepped down following incendiary remarks urging conflict against political opponents.

As the political implications of the blockchain industry unfold, Democrats may be compelled to reassess their strategies regarding emerging technologies, recognizing the increasing importance of the crypto voter bloc. Recent communications from Harris’ policy team indicate a potential openness to more favorable crypto policies.

Ultimately, how the Democrats choose to re-engage with the cryptocurrency community will determine the dynamics of this newly defined political landscape, potentially making the crypto debate a bipartisan issue moving forward.

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