Analyst Forecasts Bitcoin Prices Between $135K and $285K by 2025

A distinctive pricing model for Bitcoin predicts a possible peak price of $285,000 by 2025.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent strong weekly return of 9.84% revealed a significant bullish breakout, surpassing a descending trendline pattern active since March 2024.

Sina, co-founder of 21st Capital, pointed out that the Bitcoin price is currently located within the lowest consolidation price range for 2025 according to the quantile model.

Quantile Model Indicates Three Price Ranges for Bitcoin

Sina published a study that defined Bitcoin’s “probability space” using a quantile regression model, which identifies three distinct price ranges for 2025.

Each of these ranges corresponds to different market sentiments and has been categorized as follows:

• Cold Zone: Ranges between $55,000 and $85,000 (below 33rd percentile) — Represents the lowest probable price for BTC, encouraging seasoned investors to accumulate while aiming for targets above $100,000.
• Warm Zone: Ranges between $85,000 and $136,000 (33rd to 66th percentile) — Expected to attract retail attention as Bitcoin hits new all-time highs, prompting investors to build positions with cautious optimism.
• Hot Zone: Peaks between $136,000 and $285,000 (66th to 99th percentile) — Anticipated to see significant price volatility and profit-taking, marking a crucial phase in market dynamics.

“The 33% quantile ranges coincide perfectly with bitcoin phase transitions. Bitcoin just likes to spend 1/3 of its time in each zone and then transition to the other zone like clockwork. Most of the bear market is (33%, and bull market euphoria begins at) 66%.”

According to Sina, the highest level of volatility is expected in the hot zone, where rapid market reversals may occur due to profit-taking and overleveraged positions.

Bitcoin Price Requires Support at $68,500

Intotheblock, an analytics platform, noted the critical significance of Bitcoin’s $68,500 price level. Bitcoin hit its peak between $68,000 and $69,000 in 2021 during previous bull markets. Current data show a notable concentration of activity near these historical high levels, with over 320,000 active addresses engaging with Bitcoin.

Out of the 320,000 active addresses, more than 68% have interacted with Bitcoin at an average price of $68,572, suggesting that robust support could form around this level on a higher time frame (HTF) due to the interest of long-term holders.

Notably, Bitcoin has shown a daily correction of 3%, declining from a high of $69,555 to around $67,000.

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin finds support at the 50-day EMA level, aligning with the $67,000 resistance level. A decisive move above $68,500 could sustain BTC’s bullish momentum, while sideways consolidation around its current price may lead to further corrections this week.

This information is provided for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial or investment advice.